Monday, August 02, 2004

No Bounce for Kerry

Will John "I-will-double-our-special-forces-in-order-to-conduct-terrorist-operations" Kerry manage to snatch defeat out of the jaws of victory?
The latest US polls found that Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry has managed what few before him have done: he walked away from four days of party cheerleading in Boston without creating a post-convention "bounce" of public support.

A CNN-USA Today-Gallup poll concluded that not only had Mr Kerry's campaign not benefited from the party's national conference, but the president, George Bush, had actually gained ground. Among likely voters, Mr Bush led Mr Kerry by 50% to 46%, compared to a pre-convention poll where Mr Kerry led 47% to 46%. Independent candidate Ralph Nader held fairly steady at 2%.

Registered voters favoured Mr Kerry over Mr Bush 50% to 47%, a slight change from his 49% to 45% lead in a similar poll two weeks ago. However, with a margin of error of 3.5%, that effectively indicated a dead heat. (Sarah Left, "No Bounce for Kerry," The Guardian, August 2, 2004)

1 comment:

Commodore Luke Perry said...

It's a deadheat and the Repugs haven't even held their convention yet. Moreover, turnout won't be that high. That's because, although there are plenty of polarizing issues, both parties squelch them. Or rather, the Repugs are quite honest about what they think about most of the issues, while the Dems blather emptily that they will do, for example, something about health care. And of course the real issue is still the war in Iraq, and always has been. About the only Democrat (with access to the establishment press) who at least says what some people think is Dean.